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How is BitConnect Sustainable? How is BitConnect Not a Ponzi?

In order to respond appropriately to these questions, one must  understand that the asker is asking this based on several  misconceptions. Most people lump Bitconnect in with the likes of Control Finance, Bitpetite, Coinreum, etc. These are programs where people lend their bitcoin to a company who feeds them a story about how they are  able to multiply their funds and give them a nice return based on how  the company invests the money. Some claim to be trading, some claim to  be investing in certain technologies, some claim to be mining, etc. The  company agrees to repay the investor in the same currency that was  borrowed. Bitconnect does not operate in this fashion. Unlike all of  these programs, Bitconnect has a coin, an actual Crypto-currency. To  date, there hasn’t been a single lending program that has come to market (beyond the ICO stage) with a coin and a working blockchain that has  failed, exited, or scammed and run off with people’s money.

In order to explain the sustainability of Bitconnect, one must be able to resolve several misconceptions about how it works.

Misconception #1: We lend Bitcoin to Bitconnect.

This is false. We do not lend Bitcoin to Bitconnect. We buy  Bitconnect Tokens using Bitcoin in order to make a loan on the platform. These tokens are purchased on an exchange. The person on the other end  of the trade can be any member of the Bitconnect community or Bitconnect itself. What this means is that the Bitcoin doesn’t necessarily go to  Bitconnect every time BCC tokens are purchased.

Misconception #2: We are paid out in Bitcoin.

This is false. All payments (including referral bonuses) coming from  Bitconnect are made using their own BCC tokens, not Bitcoin. If a lender wishes to obtain Bitcoin, he/she must exchange those tokens for Bitcoin on an exchange. The person on the other side of the trade offering  their Bitcoin in exchange for Bitconnect are often other members of the  Bitconnect community wishing to obtain Bitconnect coins for the purpose  of making a loan. A person wishing to exit the platform with Bitcoin is  only limited by his/her ability to exchange those tokens for Bitcoin on  any of the exchanges where BCC is traded. Bitconnect is not responsible  for providing lenders with Bitcoin. They are only responsible for  satisfying loans with their own BCC tokens.

Here is the data on Bitconnect’s BCC token supply according to Coin Market Cap:

Circulating Supply: 2,138,092 BCC
Total Supply: 8,392,580 BCC
Max Supply: 28,000,000 BCC

The circulating supply includes all tokens not being held by  Bitconnect. The total supply includes all tokens that have been created  to date. The max supply includes all tokens that will ever exist. When a person makes a loan on the platform, they are making a loan for a  certain dollar amount worth of BCC tokens, not Bitcoin. When they are  paid back, they are paid back a certain dollar amount worth of BCC  tokens, not Bitcoin. The value of the coin plays a huge role in  determining how many tokens are needed to make a loan in the beginning  and how many tokens are required to be paid back at the end. For  example, if a person wants to make a 100 dollar loan and a BCC token is  worth $1 at that time, he will need 100 BCC tokens to make a $100 loan.  However, if by the end of the loan period, the value of the BCC token  has risen to $10, he will be paid back only 10 tokens at the time of his capital release. Due to the fact that the BCC token is in high demand,  the token value continues to rise and those who made a loan earlier in  the year are often paid back less tokens than what they originally lent, albeit with the same dollar value.

Why is this important?

This is important because the concern is that Bitconnect will run out of funds to pay their investors. However, most do not know that the  payments are made using a coin that Bitconnect controls and of which  Bitconnect seemingly has an endless supply. The reason why it seems as  if they have an endless supply of coins which they can pay out is  because whatever amount of coins they pay out are sold and promptly  returned to Bitconnect for the purpose of making a new loan. This is not a coin that most people hold for the long term benefits. Bitconnect  does not run out of their own coin. Hence, they do not run out of money  to pay their investors. Recall that the amount of BCC tokens in  circulation according to CMC is 2,138,092 BCC. That means that they  still have 6,254,488 coins sitting in wallets which they can use to pay  their investors. Currently, the value of a BCC token is $280.82. If we  multiply $280.82 by the total supply of 8,392,580 BCC, we get  $2,356,804,315.60. That is how much Bitconnect could pay out at one time if necessary. Mind you, it is highly unlikely that any investor in  Bitconnect will try and cash out over 2 Billion dollars at one time on  the platform. Yet, if this were to occur, then the total supply of coins would be enough to make them whole. Recall, the max supply of  Bitconnect coins is 28 million. Let me also remind you that once  Bitconnect pays an investor out in their own coin, they have satisfied  their end of the deal. The investor, if he so chooses, must on his own  trade those coins for Bitcoin or for any other coin.

This completely refutes the allegation that Bitconnect takes new  money to pay old members, which is the definition of a Ponzi. Bitconnect only conducts loan transactions using their own BCC token. Bitcoin is  only used to purchase BCC tokens. That is where Bitcoin’s involvement  ends. Bitconnect pays out in their own coin which is traded for other  coins such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Tether, etc. Bitconnect is not  responsible for anything beyond paying out a dollar amount worth of  their own BCC token.

Could Bitconnect Fail?

Of course, Bitconnect can fail just like any business can fail. What could cause Bitconnect to fail? Bitconnect could fail…

1). If users stop using the platform. Just like any business, if  people stop using the service, there would be no reason to stay in  business.

2). If the value of the token drops to a level where all available  tokens wouldn’t be enough to pay investors. For example, if the token  value drops to $1 and there are 28 million tokens and more than 28  million dollars worth of their tokens need to be paid at once,  Bitconnect could fail. How likely is this?

3). If Bitcoin is no longer in existence, or Bitcoin is no longer  volatile. However, they could also add other coins which are more  volatile than Bitcoin and use those as a metric to pay interest to  investors.

4). If Aliens invade and create a whole new financial system.
What I do not see is Bitconnect running out of their own coin to pay  their investors. Not when they have a max supply of 28 million and the  value of the coin keeps rising.

Why the Value of the Coin Continues to Rise

The value of the Bitconnect coin continues to rise because, unlike  most other alt coins, it is not a speculative asset. In other words,  most people are not seeking to buy it low and sell it high. They are  seeking to buy it to do a loan and they do not care what the price of  the coin is. They simply wish to buy a certain dollar amount worth of  BCC tokens to do a loan. That is all. Hence, If I have $100 dollars to  do a loan, I do not care if the coin costs 0.0370000 satoshis or  0.390000 satoshis. A seller can ask for any amount for the coin and will most likely get it. I will more than likely only be holding the coin  for a maximum of five minutes before I use it to do a loan on the  platform. When exiting the platform, if I choose to exchange the BCC  tokens for Bitcoin, I could demand a high price, because at that point I care about how much BTC I will get for my BCC tokens. This is what  causes the price to rise rapidly and not fall. The dollar amount quoted  for a BCC token is based up two factors: the amount of Bitcoin a single  BCC token is worth and the value of Bitcoin. At the time of this  writing, one BCC token is worth 0.038491 BTC and BTC is worth $7293.  This gives us the price in dollars of a single BCC token as $280.75.

Does Bitconnect really have a trading bot?

This question is often raised by people who doubt that a trading bot  exists, despite the fact that anyone can purchase a trading bot for a  couple of hundred dollars. They demand to see the trading bot and how it works even though most major financial institutions such as JP Morgan  and Goldman Sachs do not reveal their trading bot and how it works, yet  many invest in them. The fact of the matter is that Bitconnect sells its coins for Bitcoin. The Bitcoin that they earn from the sale of their  BCC tokens does not play a role in the process of repayment of its  investors. Therefore, what they choose to do with the Bitcoin is  irrelevant. I can only assume that in order to finance their operation,  Bitcoin must be sold for some real world currency, which would imply  that they are indeed trading Bitcoin.

How are investors paid? How can Bitconnect guarantee 1% a day?

Bitconnect does not guarantee 1% a day. Investors are paid an  interest percentage based upon the volatility of Bitcoin. A common  misconception is that Bitconnect trades Bitcoin and pays an amount based upon how much they profited on that trading day. This is assumed, but  never explicitly stated on their website. Investors are paid solely  based upon the price of Bitcoin at the time the market closes. I am on  the west coast of the United States, and the market closes at 4:00 PM  here. If the market closes higher or lower than the day before than I am paid an interest based up on how much higher or lower it closed. The  only time investors aren’t paid anything is when Bitcoin closes at  nearly the same price multiple days consecutively. Previous performance  shows an average of 0.9% daily.

In summary, Bitconnect does not meet the definition of a Ponzi  because all payouts are conducted using its own currency of which it has a seemingly endless amount. Bitcoin is only used to purchase BCC tokens to do a loan. The Bitcoin is never used to pay back investors. The  amount of BCC tokens used to pay back investors is determined by the  value of the coin at that time. The amount of coins in Bitconnect’s  possession is enough to settle a capital release ranging in the Billions of dollars. In order for Bitconnect to fail, Bitcoin would have to  cease to exist or to become non-volatile. Bitcoin does not guarantee a  certain percentage on your investment, but averages close to 1% per day.